Ottoman Empire Attempting to Rise

The Turkish president has now cried out islamophobia as generations of Turkish immigrants have refused to assimilate and the Dutch want to do something about it. Turkey has the advantage in this negotiation due to the refugee crisis. With the European Union refusing to close the borders and remove the hostile invaders Turkey can use its large refugee population as a bargaining chip. This results in a lose-lose situation for Europe, if estranged Turkey can just allow millions of hostile people to flood into Europe, but if Turkey  is admitted to the European Union then the refugees get into the EU system and will have freedom of movement within the Schengen zone.

Turkey is playing hardball by outright calling the Dutch Nazis in an attempt to force social pressure because the refugees are not wanted in Turkey either. I would expect genocidal conditions or mass deportations in Turkey should the EU decided to seal its borders and cut Turkey off due to its belligerence. Very unlikely due to the EU’s far left ideological position, but there are nationalist parties in Europe that can effectively force the same conditions if enough European countries are taken over by their movement.

Advertisements

About American Activities

An American nationalist.
This entry was posted in International and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

5 Responses to Ottoman Empire Attempting to Rise

  1. Michael says:

    I find it a rather limited view of the situation. Turkey is in dire straight economically and needs European investment. Internally, Turkey is in civil war with the Kurds and externally increasingly involved in Syria. The bargaining position of Turkey is not that good, and I think EU leaders are calling Turkey’s bluff.

    Like

    • I’ve been keep things quite simple for now.
      Turkey has been growing at more than five percent GPD in these recent years even after the mismanagement of the nation’s economy by the AKP. Along with debt owed (which is much greater in western nations) this places Turkey in a far better off condition than European Union member states. Now of course average wages and quality of life are lower, hence the desire for wealth redistribution from Europe which appears to be wealthier. Ultimately Turkey does not need European investment this is a mindset of entitlement and is ultimately unsustainable for both Europe and Turkey. Turkey would be better off by operating with fiscal responsibility and empowering its own economy. This would, in the long term, improve the lives of the Turkish people and hedge against economic collapse.
      The Kurds in Turkey, Syria, Iran and Iraq will always be a problem because much like the Palestinians they don’t have their own state and lack the power to effectively rebel resulting in the decades long terrorist struggle in the area. If not for the west destabilizing the Middle East Syria wouldn’t be embroiled in civil war which is providing the conditions for Kurdish forces to operate thus forcing Turkey to act.
      Despite the dangerous nature of the gamble what I see is that Turkey is in a fantastic bargaining position. The EU doesn’t have the will to engage in what would amount to be a civil war in expelling the refugees, so their arguments to increase or decrease Turkey’s access to the Europe is nothing more than ideological signaling. Turkey’s position isn’t really a bluff, they don’t want to pay for refugee camps and don’t want the refugees in Turkey. Turkey will expel the refugees (to Europe or back to county of origin) or become a failed state where tribal leaders, terrorist groups and government remnants constantly battle for control much as has been seen in Afghanistan.

      Like

      • Michael says:

        GDP Growth Rate in Turkey averaged 1.07 percent from 1998 until 2016 – http://www.tradingeconomics.com/turkey/gdp-growth

        Inflation is close to 10%, so is the (official) unemployment. Not sure how this translates into “a far better off condition than European Union member states”.

        The civil war in Syria is something of the past 6 years. The Kurds are engaged in an armed conflict with Turkey for at least 40 years. So it’s got nothing to do with “the west destabilizing the Middle East”, even if that would be true, hasn’t it?

        Like

        • Turkey has a history of discrepancy with these sorts of statistics.
          http://archive.is/9tij4

          After reviewing the IMF and Turkish Statistical Institute data the higher average I mentioned above (I didn’t say average at the time however, shame on me) seems more or less as good as we can know for now. Perhaps a bit high but depending on how the data is abused the results will vary, that is just how it is with lies, damned lies, and statistics. Time will tell if Turkey is cooking the books or not, given their past record much lower numbers wouldn’t surprise me.
          With the IMF and World Bank placing Turkey in the top twenty GDPs world wide it doesn’t really matter that much since central banks have more room to mess around when they have the support of the international banking system. While quite high, the inflation in Turkey has been relatively stable compared to the 1990’s. It is certainly possible to decrease the unemployment rate but it doesn’t seem as bad with Turkey still being considered a developing economy. This room for continued growth will dampen the impact of inflation and unemployment so long as the growth is stable and sustainable. Besides these two factors there is also the public debt. Debt seems unimportant since it has less impact in the here and now but it must be paid eventually saddling future generations with a massive burden. Largely owing to the welfare state, developed nations have crippled themselves with debt some nations . Turkey’s debt is still within the realm of feasibility to pay off, if well managed this gives them a great advantage.
          As for the civil war, it was nominally over in 2013 when the PKK withdrew its forces from Turkey. Now both sides accuse the other of supporting the Islamic States terrorists, terrorists that formed due to actions of the west. Negotiations were not going so well before the Islamic State became active in the region but there was still some chance for peace.

          Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s